Travis Etienne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to accumulate 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Travis Etienne has been among the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 18.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Travis Etienne's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 4.21 yards-per-target compared to a 7.30 mark last season.
The Houston Texans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, allowing 5.43 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.

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