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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • Travis Etienne has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this year (56.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (43.1%).
  • The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars as the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

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