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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • The model projects Travis Etienne to notch 14.1 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Travis Etienne has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this year (55.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (43.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Texans safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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