Travis Etienne Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
In this game, Travis Etienne is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.2 carries.
After comprising 51.6% of his team's carries last season, Travis Etienne has been more involved in the running game this season, now sitting at 65.5%.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Houston's unit has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The model projects the Jaguars as the 8th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.8% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

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