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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+166/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Titans being a giant -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (58.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Tony Pollard's 84.9% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 74.2% mark.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DT corps has been very good this year, projecting as the best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Tony Pollard has been not been very involved his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • With a dreadful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Tony Pollard ranks as one of the weakest receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to running backs this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL versus the Chargers defense this year (65.5% Adjusted Completion%).

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