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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +196.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 14.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 66.7% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.1% red zone pass rate.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The Colts defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by the projections to call just 61.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
  • Tony Pollard has received 63.6% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • Tony Pollard has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 3rd percentile among RBs.
  • This year, Tony Pollard has not caught any receiving TDs this year.

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