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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 74.3% to 80.7%.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Tony Pollard has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Tony Pollard's 10.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • Tony Pollard has not scored a TD through the air this year.
  • With a terrific ratio of 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game (78th percentile), Tony Pollard has been among the best rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.

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