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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+152/-178).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +154 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this game (7.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 90th percentile for red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, comprising 58.3% of the workload in his offense's run game near the goal line.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Tony Pollard's 58.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 74.3% mark.

This year, Tony Pollard has not caught any touchdowns through the air this year.

With a fantastic rate of 0.25 rushing touchdowns per game (78th percentile), Tony Pollard ranks among the best rushing TD-scorers in football this year.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

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