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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

Tony Pollard slots into the 87th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 16.7 mark since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for a staggering 75.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Tony Pollard has received 59.6% of his offense's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Tony Pollard has accumulated a feeble -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.

The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

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