My Account Log Out
 
 
Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+186/-198).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -186 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -198.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 50.7% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.
  • Tony Pollard has notched a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard has been among the pass-game running backs with the smallest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Tony Pollard's 11.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 18.1.
  • This year, Tony Pollard has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™