My Account Log Out
 
 
Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (60.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year.
  • Tony Pollard has compiled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call only 62.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard places among the pass-catching RBs with the lowest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Tony Pollard's player page this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles rank as the worst DT corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™