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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (59.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.8 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • When talking about air yards, Tony Pollard grades out in the lofty 81st percentile among running backs this year, totaling a whopping 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • Tony Pollard's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 74.2% to 83.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) usually cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard rates among the pass-game running backs with the lowest utilization rates near the end zone in football.

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