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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Titans to be the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 40.7% run rate.
  • In this game, Tony Pollard is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.9 rush attempts.
  • This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers run defense has given up a feeble 4.93 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 24th-smallest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Titans being a giant -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game in this game (52.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (69.4% in games he has played).
  • Tony Pollard has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).
  • With a lousy record of 3.65 adjusted yards per carry (18th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard ranks among the bottom pure rushers in football at the position.

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