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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to total 14.5 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The New England defensive ends project as the worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Tony Pollard to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack in this game (55.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (74.1% in games he has played).
  • Tony Pollard's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a significant reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 62.0 mark.
  • Tony Pollard's running effectiveness (3.68 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (24th percentile when it comes to running backs).

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