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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (+106/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

In this game, Tony Pollard is expected by the model to finish in the 98th percentile among RBs with 18.6 rush attempts.

After comprising 64.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tony Pollard has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now comprising 77.3%.

The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to run on 40.1% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Tony Pollard's 46.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his running talent over last year's 62.0 mark.

The Texans defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.20 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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