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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 8th-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.

In this game, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.3 carries.

Tony Pollard has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this year (80.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (64.6%).

With an exceptional total of 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (87th percentile), Tony Pollard has been as one of the leading pure runners in football since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Colts run defense has surrendered a massive 129.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

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