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Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-112/-112).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -112.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (41.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Titans.Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.In this week's game, Tony Pollard is projected by the projections to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.1 carries.Tony Pollard has garnered 65.7% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.With a terrific record of 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Tony Pollard has been as one of the top pure runners in the NFL since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Titans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.The Titans have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 56.3 plays per game.The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.Tony Pollard's running effectiveness (3.76 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (14th percentile when it comes to RBs).As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's unit has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the best in the NFL.
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