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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-112/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to accrue 16.2 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • Tony Pollard has earned 65.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an exceptional rate of 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Tony Pollard stands as one of the best pure rushers in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Titans to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This year, the stout Jaguars run defense has given up a meager 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the best in the league.
  • The Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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