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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 41.9% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Titans.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 132.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • This week, Tony Pollard is projected by the model to land in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 17.6 rush attempts.
  • Among all RBs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 95th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 65.3% of the workload in his offense's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
  • The Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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