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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+100/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.8 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) usually cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 19.2 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
  • Tony Pollard has been given 65.3% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Tony Pollard's 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a significant drop-off in his rushing prowess over last year's 62.0 rate.
  • With a dreadful record of 3.65 adjusted yards per carry (15th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard has been as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at the position.
  • This year, the poor Cleveland Browns run defense has yielded a monstrous 3.84 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 29th-largest rate in football.

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