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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in football (41.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.

In this week's game, Tony Pollard is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 94th percentile among running backs with 16.7 rush attempts.

Among all RBs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 96th percentile for rush attempts last year, comprising 64.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.

With an exceptional rate of 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (85th percentile), Tony Pollard rates as one of the top running backs in the NFL last year.

The Broncos defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football last year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -8-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans last year (a measly 56.5 per game on average).

With a terrible record of 3.79 adjusted yards per carry (19th percentile) last year, Tony Pollard ranks as one of the bottom pure runners in the league at the position.

Last year, the weak Broncos run defense has given up a monstrous 3.94 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-highest rate in the NFL.

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