Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a stellar tally of 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Tony Pollard ranks as one of the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, New York's group of DEs has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to run on 38.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (49.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (61.4% in games he has played).

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