Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 8, 2024 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With an excellent rate of 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), Tony Pollard stands among the top running backs in the league last year.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Chicago's collection of DEs has been awful last year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to run on 36.8% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The Titans have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
While Tony Pollard has accounted for 61.6% of his team's carries in games he has played last year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Tennessee's ground game in this contest at 45.8%.
Last year, the imposing Chicago Bears run defense has conceded a mere 86.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the fewest in the league.

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