Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 71.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to earn 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Tony Pollard has generated 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (86th percentile).

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Tony Pollard has been worse at generating extra running yardage this season, compiling 2.56 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.82 figure last season.

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