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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 71.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to earn 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Tony Pollard has generated 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (86th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tony Pollard has been worse at generating extra running yardage this season, compiling 2.56 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.82 figure last season.

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