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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tony Pollard has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 44.7% of snaps compared to just 30.2% last year.
  • Tony Pollard's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching just 3.92 yards-per-carry vs a 5.30 mark last year.

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