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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Tony Pollard's 68.3% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteworthy progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 51.1% figure.
  • Tony Pollard's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 74.3% to 83.8%.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.1%) to running backs this year (87.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Tony Pollard's 1.6 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a material drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 2.6 mark.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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