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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+147/-189).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -189.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Tony Pollard's 68.2% Route Participation% this season indicates a material growth in his pass attack workload over last season's 51.1% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Tony Pollard's receiving skills have declined this season, compiling just 0.7 adjusted catches compared to 2.6 last season.

Tony Pollard's 58.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 74.3% mark.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.5%) to RBs since the start of last season (78.5%).

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