My Account Log Out

reorder

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+165/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

With an impressive 52.7% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.

In this contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to rank in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 3.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Tony Pollard grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing just 73.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.

The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™