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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 132.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Tony Pollard's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 74.4% to 81.8%.
  • This year, the weak Saints pass defense has given up a colossal 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • Tony Pollard's 11.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 18.1.

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