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Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Tony Pollard's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 74.3% to 81.7%.

This year, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.

Tony Pollard's 12.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 18.1.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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Tony Pollard ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 16