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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year.
  • Tony Pollard's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 74.2% to 83.8%.
  • This year, the feeble San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded a massive 87.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call only 62.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 18.1.

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