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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -8-point underdogs.

The Broncos defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) last year.

Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Tony Pollard has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 12.1% last year, which places him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Tony Pollard grades out as one of the top RB receiving threats last year, averaging an excellent 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans last year (a measly 56.5 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.

Tony Pollard is positioned as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, catching just 74.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

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