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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to total 3.6 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • Tony Pollard grades out as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 3.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 83.5% to 87.0%.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Tony Pollard's 48.3% Route Participation Rate this year shows a material diminishment in his air attack volume over last year's 59.5% mark.

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