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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Tony Pollard has run a route on 57.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The model projects Tony Pollard to total 3.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Tony Pollard ranks as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
  • The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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