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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

In this contest, Tony Pollard is expected by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile among running backs with 4.7 targets.

Tony Pollard has been in the 97th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 20.6 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the projection model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Titans O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Tony Pollard's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.5% to 75.9%.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has surrendered a mere 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the lowest rate in football.

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Houston's DE corps has been very good this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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