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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (41.1 per game) this year.

Tony Pollard has been more involved as a potential target this season (56.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.3%).

This week, Tony Pollard is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 90th percentile among running backs with 4.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's unit has been great this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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