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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.

The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.

Tony Pollard has run more routes this season (57.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (44.3%).

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 4.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Tony Pollard's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, averaging 3.8 adjusted catches vs just 2.4 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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