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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Titans being a giant -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Tony Pollard's 84.9% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 74.2% mark.
  • Tony Pollard's receiving efficiency has been refined this year, totaling 6.17 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 4.24 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • Tony Pollard's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.39 rate last season.
  • The Chargers pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.1%) versus running backs this year (77.1%).

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