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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Tony Pollard's 68.3% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteworthy progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 51.1% figure.
  • Tony Pollard's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 74.3% to 83.8%.
  • Tony Pollard's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 6.07 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 4.25 rate last season.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.1%) to running backs this year (87.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Tony Pollard's talent in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.39 mark last year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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