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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.1%).
  • Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 74.3% to 80.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Tony Pollard's 9.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents an impressive drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 15.0 mark.
  • Tony Pollard's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.39 rate last season.
  • The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.2%) vs. running backs this year (73.2%).
  • This year, the daunting Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a mere 4.0 yards.

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