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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential target this season (68.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (51.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Tony Pollard has notched a feeble -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 22nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • With a weak 73.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (16th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard rates among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77%) to running backs this year (77.0%).

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