My Account Log Out

reorder

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Tony Pollard's 68.2% Route Participation% this season indicates a material growth in his pass attack workload over last season's 51.1% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Tony Pollard has accumulated substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

Tony Pollard's 58.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 74.3% mark.

Tony Pollard profiles as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 5.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.5%) to RBs since the start of last season (78.5%).

More Tony Pollard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™