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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

With an impressive 52.7% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.

In this contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to rank in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 3.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Tony Pollard has accumulated a feeble -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.

The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Tony Pollard grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing just 73.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.

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