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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Tony Pollard has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (57.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tony Pollard's 4.2 adjusted yards per target this season represents a a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 6.5 mark.

Tony Pollard's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching a measly 4.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.74 figure last year.

The 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 4.41 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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