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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-149/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 8th-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.

In this game, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.3 carries.

Tony Pollard has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this year (80.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (64.6%).

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

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