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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to accrue 16.2 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • Tony Pollard has earned 65.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Titans to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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