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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to garner 15.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 95th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 66.1% of the workload in his offense's running game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles rank as the worst DT corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 8th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call only 62.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.

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