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Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.This week, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to land in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.4 rush attempts.After comprising 41.6% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Tony Pollard has been called on more in the run game this year, now taking on 63.1%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Philadelphia's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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