Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 44.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 26th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Tony Pollard has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 43.5% of snaps compared to just 30.2% last season.

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