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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+800/-1100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +810 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (60.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Tommy Tremble's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 80.0% to 85.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • This year, the stout Bills defense has surrendered a puny 0.17 passing TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-best rate in football.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most touchdowns in football (1.50 per game) against the Bills defense this year.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

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